Where ‘he’ is Dean. Yeah, this question makes me uncomfortable, so it’s time to take a serious look at it.
I think he can win. Okay, in a strict logical sense, I know he can win. Say Kerry died tomorrow, heart attack, or something equally non-blameable. And, even without that absurd example, less than 10% of the delegates have been selected. It wouldn’t take even anywhere near as dramatic a lead as kerry held over dean in iowa & new hampshire for the remaining 90% to give dean the nomination.
I do think Dean’s chances aren’t as good as Kerry’s. In addition to those who, prefer Kerry for what they believe he will do, there are those who want to be on the winning team (heard about several from Luke and others in Phoenix, though I ran into none myself), and those who think Dean’s rallying yelp in Iowa makes him unelectable (though, I bet these same people think that the lack of evidence supporting WMD’s don’t do nearly as much to damage bush’s chances. Perspective, people?)
On the other hand, Kerry had to mortgage his house to finance his campaign. Dean has not. Dean has an enormous network of volunteers. Some are wacky college students. Some are also settled parents, retirees, political campaigners, and a wide variety of other sorts. Be wary of generalizations.
I hope that the unlikely happens, and I am willing to work to shift the probabilities as much as I can. My vote will go to Dean. I encourage you to vote your conscience. Look at what the candidates have actually done in the past. And, if such things are important to you (though I don’t think they should be as important as the other), compare the record to their claims as to what they will do.
And, no matter who gets nominated, I will vote for the democrat. Even Leiberman. That having been said, it is unlikely I will do anything more than vote, should Joe get the nomination (monkeys, flying, my butt, you know how it goes). I’m not sure about Kerry. But, a cursory examination of his record leads me to believe I would be less inspired to campaign for him than for Dean. For whatever that’s worth.
I hope Dean can win. He’s got my vote, certainly. I did check Kerry’s politics just to find out how wide the differential is. He’s less appealing, but I could still vote for him in good conscience if he’s the one to face Bush in the election.
Anyway, mad props to you for advocating change with more than just your pocketbook.
I’d still rather vote for Dean than Kerry.
i would rather vote for edwards, but i am voting ABB (Anybody But Bush). at this point people need to stop whining about not getting the dem of their choice and unite under ABB. bitches please, you can’t have your cake and eat it too. this have your cake and eat it too is the same kind of shit that lead to me wanting to kill every registered green in the country three years ago.